Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 15.7 clip, Obi Toppin's playing time has surged this season to 22.0 minutes per game.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Obi Toppin has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 24.0% higher than he's made overall this season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Obi Toppin comes in at the 79th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Indiana Pacers will likely see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Orlando Magic).
As it relates to drawing fouls, the Indiana Pacers's feeble 18.8 foul shots per game ranks 6th-worst in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Obi Toppin will likely see a decline in efficiency for all stats in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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