Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 2.8 rate, Obi Toppin's shots made have jumped this year to 4.1 per game.
Relative to last season's 15.7 rate, Obi Toppin's playing time has surged this season to 22.1 minutes per game.
In terms of shooting, the Pacers's excellent 123.3 points per game rates most in the NBA this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA at home this year.
While on the road, the Timberwolves have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 1.0 rate, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have risen this year to 1.8.
This matchup is a positive one for threes; opposing clubs have compiled the 10th-highest three percentage in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (37.4%).
The Indiana Pacers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Indiana Pacers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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