Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has made a terrific 4.1 field goals per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.8 mark last season.
Relative to last year's 15.7 mark, Obi Toppin's playing time has increased this year to 22.3 minutes per game.
In terms of offense, the Indiana Pacers's exceptional 123.7 points per game ranks most in the league this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league playing at home this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (losing possessions that could otherwise result in further chances for offense).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 1.0 clip, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 1.9.
This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; opposing clubs have totaled the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (38.8).
The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Obi Toppin has converted 65.7% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 8.8% lower than he's converted in all games this year.

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