Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Obi Toppin comes in at the 85th percentile for field goal proficiency with a a terrific 54.7% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Obi Toppin comes in at the 76th percentile for 3-point prowess with a an outstanding 38.3% rate this year.
Relative to last year's 15.7 rate, Obi Toppin's playing time has risen this year to 22.5 minutes per game.
In terms of scoring, the Indiana Pacers's fantastic 123.4 points per game rates highest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have averaged 33.8 three attempts per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, making this a challenging matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Obi Toppin rates in the 78th percentile for technical fouls, registering a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 6.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
When playing at home, the Raptors have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Obi Toppin will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.