Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Obi Toppin ranks in the 85th percentile for scoring ability with a a terrific 54.9% rate this year.
Obi Toppin has tallied a terrific 22.7 minutes per game this season, a big improvement over his 15.7 minutes per game last season.
In regard to scoring, the Pacers's exceptional 123.8 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league this year.
While on their home court, the Knicks have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Obi Toppin has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (82nd percentile).
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Obi Toppin is expected to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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