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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 42.0% mark, Obi Toppin's field goal ability has spiked this year to 53.9%.

The fastest tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 3rdbest in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

The Rockets have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (7.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 1.0 clip, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have jumped this season to 2.0.

Obi Toppin has shot and missed 0.6 free throw attempts per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.4 higher than he's missed overall this season on his home court.

As a team, the Pacers have been lousy at drawing fouls recently: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games with a lowly 19.5 free throw attempts per game.

This matchup is a strong one for getting to the foul line; when the Houston Rockets are on the road, their opposition has attempted a colossal 28.0 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

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