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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Obi Toppin rates in the 85th percentile for shooting performance with a an exceptional 55.0% rate this year.

Relative to last season's 15.7 rate, Obi Toppin's playing time has jumped this season to 23.1 minutes per game.

The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Obi Toppin lands in the 81st percentile for technical fouls, compiling a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.

This year, opposing clubs have shot 39.7% on threes (highest in the league) vs. the Hornets, creating a favorable matchup.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

As a team, the Pacers have been poor at drawing fouls in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games, averaging a lowly 16.6 foul shots per game.

This matchup is a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team has attempted a whopping 23.2 foul shots per game this year (10th-most in the NBA).

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