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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Obi Toppin has converted an impressive 55.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly more than his 42.0 mark last year.

Obi Toppin has converted 43.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year while playing at home.

The speediest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 1stbest in in the league with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

This year, the other team has nabbed 9.3 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 1.0 rate, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 2.1.

Over the last 10 games when they are at home, their opposition has tallied 37.7 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been lousy at drawing fouls in recent days: worst in the league over the last 5 games, drawing just 16.0 free throws per game.

This matchup is a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 23.2 foul shots per game this year (10th-most in the NBA).

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