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Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-103/-125).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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In contrast to last year's 15.7 mark, Obi Toppin's playing time has spiked this year to 23.3 minutes per game.This matchup is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are playing at home, opposing clubs have posted the 2nd-lowest Field Goal% in the league against them this year (44.6%).The speediest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.This year, the other team has attempted 19.0 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Obi Toppin has successfully made 53.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.3% less than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing away from home.Among all players in the league, Obi Toppin comes in at the 80th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from competing against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Celtics).Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have collected 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Boston Celtics (maintaining possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).In regard to drawing fouls, the Pacers's feeble 20.9 foul shots per game places 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.
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