Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 2.8 rate, Obi Toppin's shots drained have surged this year to 4.4 per game.
In terms of scoring, the Indiana Pacers's superb 127.0 points per game while at home settles in as the most in the league this year.
This matchup is a challenging one; when the Suns are the visiting team, they have allowed the 6th-least points per game in the league to opposing squads this year (112.9).
The speediest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 9th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 1.0 clip, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 2.1.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 5thworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
While playing on the road, the Phoenix Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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