Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has made a whopping 56.2% of his field goals this year, quite a bit more than his 42.0 mark last year.
Obi Toppin has sunk 55.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 19.3% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.
As it relates to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's stellar 126.3 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Celtics is a difficult one for scoring; opposing clubs have posted the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (44.8%).
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pacers.

Favors Under

Obi Toppin has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's accumulated in all games this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 5thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
The Boston Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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