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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Obi Toppin has converted 45.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 10.6% higher than he's converted overall this season.

In regard to scoring, the Pacers's excellent 125.9 points per game comes in as the highest in the league this year.

Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the other team has tallied 32.7 3-point attempts per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Bucks, designating this as a tough matchup.

The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Pacers are expected to get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the league playing at home with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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