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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 12/26/2023

Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Obi Toppin has converted 57.9% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

This matchup is a hard one; when the Rockets are on their home court, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing squads this year (100.3).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Obi Toppin has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (80th percentile).

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, the other team has snagged 13.8 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Rockets (retaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

Obi Toppin has made 63.3% of his free throws on the road this year, ranking in the 19th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Over the last 5 games, their opposition has attempted 29.8 free throws per game (most in the league) against the Houston Rockets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

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