Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 6.3 clip, Obi Toppin's shots from the field have risen this season to 8.3 per game.
Obi Toppin has made 43.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 9.6% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
The quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Orlando is a hard one; when the Orlando Magic are away from home, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).
As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe in recent games: 5th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games, averaging just 18.8 free throw attempts per game.
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, struggling to draw fouls.

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