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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Obi Toppin has successfully made an impressive 60.2% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 42.0 rate last season.

Obi Toppin has successfully made 46.6% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 12.7% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 55.8% on field goal attempts (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, making this a good matchup.

The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Obi Toppin has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Indiana Pacers.

The Hornets have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Pacers have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe of late: 9th-worst in the league over the last 5 games, totaling just 20.8 free throw attempts per game.

The matchup against Charlotte is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Hornets are the visiting team (13th-least in the NBA).

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