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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Indiana Pacers vs LA Clippers

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last season's 42.0% clip, Obi Toppin's shooting ability has jumped this season to 59.6%.

Obi Toppin has made 42.4% of his treys over the last 10 games, 9.8% more than he's made in all games this season.

As it relates to offense, the Indiana Pacers's excellent 126.6 points per game measures as the most in the NBA this year.

The quickest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.

The matchup vs. the Clippers is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.1 free throws per game this year (22nd-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Obi Toppin has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 27.2% on threes (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, designating this as a tough matchup.

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 6thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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