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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 12/15/2023

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Obi Toppin has successfully made an impressive 64.4% of his field goals this year, quite a bit higher than his 41.7 rate last year.

In regard to offense, the Pacers's fantastic 127.6 points per game when playing away from home places best in the league this year.

The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a strong one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 28th-most field goals per game in the league this year (8.4).

The Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.

The Pacers are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Wizards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 1.0 mark, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 3.0.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (preserving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

In contrast to last year's 78.4% rate, Obi Toppin's free-throw effectiveness has declined this year to 65.0%.

Obi Toppin should suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

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