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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 12/13/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 41.7% rate, Obi Toppin's scoring proficiency has increased this year to 68.0%.

The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA away from home this year.

The fastest tempo home team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 1.0 clip, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have spiked this year to 2.7.

The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 13th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (11.4).

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Playing at home, the Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Obi Toppin has successfully made a measly 65.0% of his foul shots this season, a sizeable decrease from his 78.4 rate last season.

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