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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 11/4/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pacers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league away from their home court since the start of last season.

The Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year.

The Pacers will likely get a boost in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-speediest pace road team in the league since the start of last season (the Charlotte Hornets).

Obi Toppin will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally improves player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Hornets is a tough one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 10th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA since the start of last season (1.4).

The Pacers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the Hornets have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Obi Toppin has attempted 0.7 foul shots per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 19th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hornets, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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