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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 5/8/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Obi Toppin has sunk 5.0 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Obi Toppin has successfully made 2.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's converted in all games this year.

Obi Toppin has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 18th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.

The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Knicks have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

This matchup is a strong one for threes; when the Heat are playing at home, the other team have averaged the 2nd-most three-pointers per game in the league against them this year (13.5).

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Knicks.

Obi Toppin has attempted a measly 0.7 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 1.7 rate last year.

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