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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs New York Knicks

 
 
 
Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Obi Toppin has converted 58.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 16.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
  • Obi Toppin has made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's made from three over the course of the year.
  • Obi Toppin has been on the court for 25.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.1 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
  • The matchup vs. New Orleans is a positive one; when the Pelicans are on their home court, they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 5 games (21.6).
  • The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Knicks rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • The New York Knicks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Knicks.
  • The Pelicans have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Obi Toppin has attempted a measly 0.7 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 1.7 rate last year.

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