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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

New York Knicks vs Washington Wizards

 
 
 
Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Obi Toppin has made 53.8% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 12.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
  • Obi Toppin has made 46.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 15.1% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
  • Obi Toppin has accumulated 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (13th percentile).
  • The matchup against Washington is a positive one; when the Wizards are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 21st-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs over the last 15 games (15.6).
  • The New York Knicks have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Knicks check in as the 10th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
  • The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home.
  • The Wizards have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Knicks.
  • While playing away from home, the Wizards have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Obi Toppin has attempted a lowly 0.6 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 1.7 rate last season.

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