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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks

 
 
 
Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Obi Toppin has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 17th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
  • The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a positive one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 29th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.9).
  • The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Cavaliers have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from home.
  • The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Knicks.
  • Obi Toppin has attempted just 0.6 free throws per game this year, quite a bit less than his 1.7 rate last year.
  • The matchup against the Cavaliers may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (15th-least in the NBA).
  • Obi Toppin will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually lowers stat production across the board.

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