Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Made 3 Point Shots

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 8:47 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-230/+176).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -188 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -230.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has successfully made 56.7% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 18.1% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.
Compared to last year's 15.7 rate, Obi Toppin's playing time has risen this year to 21.4 minutes per game.
The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
Obi Toppin will likely see an increase in productivity for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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