Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Made 3 Point Shots

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-235).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -235 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -235.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 15.7 mark, Obi Toppin's playing time has increased this year to 22.3 minutes per game.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league playing at home this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (losing possessions that could otherwise result in further chances for offense).
Obi Toppin will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally improves stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 1.0 clip, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 1.9.
This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; opposing clubs have totaled the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (38.8).
The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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