Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Made 3 Point Shots

Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has converted 43.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year while playing at home.
The speediest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 1stbest in in the league with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year, the other team has nabbed 9.3 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).
Obi Toppin stands to get a boost in performance in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 1.0 rate, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 2.1.
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, their opposition has tallied 37.7 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

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