Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 14, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 3:49 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has made 53.9% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 16.5% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
In regard to threes, the Pacers's remarkable 14.3 sunk threes per game settles in as the 5th-best in the league this year.
Over the last 15 games, their opposition has totaled 31.7 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, creating a difficult matchup.
The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Obi Toppin lands in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, their opposition has collected 11.1 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Nuggets (continuing possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).
Obi Toppin will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production for all stats.

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