Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has sunk 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season.
With respect to 3-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a positive one for three-point shots; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (44.5%).
The fastest tempo home team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Pacers.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 1.0 clip, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have spiked this year to 2.7.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Obi Toppin will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to worsen player performance for all stats.

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