Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Made 3 Point Shots

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has sunk 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season on the road.
Relative to last year's 14.9 rate, Obi Toppin's playing time has surged this year to 27.7 minutes per game.
In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Indiana Pacers.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 1.0 rate, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 2.9.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 3.1 three attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Obi Toppin stands to suffer a reduction in production for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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