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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/30/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Obi Toppin has attempted 4.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Obi Toppin has averaged a terrific 26.4 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 14.9 minutes per game last season.

The Pacers check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 23rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (4.6).

The fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Obi Toppin places in the 23rd percentile for three-point prowess while playing at home with a a lackluster 25.9% rate this year.

This year when they are at home, opposing teams have averaged 38.1% on 3-pointers (4th-best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a favorable matchup.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pacers.

The Pacers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Obi Toppin will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production for all stats.

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