Obi Toppin Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 10:58 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 15.7 rate, Obi Toppin's playing time has jumped this season to 23.1 minutes per game.
The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Obi Toppin lands in the 81st percentile for technical fouls, compiling a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Obi Toppin will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen stat production for all stats.

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