Obi Toppin Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-220/+165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -205 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Pacers.

Favors Under

Obi Toppin has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (80th percentile).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the other team has snagged 13.8 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Rockets (retaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).
Obi Toppin stands to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this game.

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