Norman Powell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Norman Powell

NBA · Player Props

Norman Powell

G · LA Clippers

Points

Miami Heat vs LA Clippers · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Norman Powell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Norman Powell has converted 45.9% of his treys on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers rank 10thbest in in the league away from their home court with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are away from home, the other team has grabbed 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).
Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have attempted 19.7 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; when the Miami Heat are at home, opposing clubs have averaged the most 3-pointers per game in the NBA against them this year (14.0).
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league on the road this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Clippers.
Norman Powell has successfully made a measly 1.9 foul shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 3.8 rate last year.
As a team, the Clippers have been poor at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 6th-worst in the league over the last 20 games, tallying just 20.8 foul shots per game.

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