Norman Powell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

NBA · Player Props

Norman Powell

G · LA Clippers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 2:44 AM EST

Analysis

Norman Powell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Norman Powell has successfully made 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
The Clippers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers rank 6thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The Lakers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has attempted 20.0 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Norman Powell has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The Clippers have been the 9th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a strong one; they have allowed the 9th-most points per game in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (118.8).
The LA Clippers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league while playing on the road this year.
Norman Powell has made just 2.0 foul shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 3.8 mark last year.