Nikola Vucevic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Nikola Vucevic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has totaled 3.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.2 higher than he's totaled in all games this year on the road.
Nikola Vucevic has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 89th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bulls.
With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Vucevic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases player performance for all stats.

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