Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2025

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Nikola Vucevic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Feb 4, 2025

Updated Feb 5, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has sunk 10.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's converted overall this year while on his home court.
Nikola Vucevic has made a whopping 40.0% of his shots from downtown this season, significantly higher than his 29.8 mark last season.
Nikola Vucevic has tallied 32.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 86th percentile.
As it relates to offense, the Chicago Bulls's excellent 116.5 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league this year.
The rate of shots converted against Kel'el Ware has been very high (64.5%) when facing other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Vucevic measures in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.4 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Kel'el Ware has been quite low this year (2.7 free throws per game: 23rd percentile).

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