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Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-106/-114).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -114.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Nikola Vucevic has attempted 17.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Vucevic places in the 83rd percentile for 3-point shots hit, averaging 2.2 per game this year.Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Vucevic lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 31.7 minutes per game this year.The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.The rate of threes converted against Kristaps Porzingis has been very high (55.6%) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the league, Nikola Vucevic rates in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year.The Celtics have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Chicago Bulls.The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).The matchup against Kristaps Porzingis is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.1 foul shots per game (10th percentile).Nikola Vucevic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production in all facets of the game.
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