Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics · Mar 23, 2024

Updated Mar 24, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has successfully made 9.1 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Nikola Vucevic has tallied 33.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup vs. Luke Kornet is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when Kornet is playing on the road and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (86th percentile).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Nikola Vucevic figures to get a boost in effectiveness across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has failed to convert 3.0 treys per game this year, placing him among the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 79th percentile for misses .
Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Vucevic comes in at the 85th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The Bulls have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year.
The Chicago Bulls will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Boston Celtics).