Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Nikola Vucevic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has attempted 18.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Nikola Vucevic has averaged 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged overall this year.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while at home over the last 6 games has been the Chicago Bulls.
This year, opposing clubs have averaged 44.9% on field goals (weakest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, creating a hard matchup.
The number of threes attempted against Kristaps Porzingis has been quite high (2.3 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile).

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Celtics have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league while traveling this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
The Boston Celtics have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

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