Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 12, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has sunk 59.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 6.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Nikola Vucevic has averaged 33.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The matchup vs. the Raptors is a positive one for threes; the other team's starting Cs have put up the 29th-highest three percentage in the league this year (40.3%).
While on their home court, the Raptors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has tallied 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.3 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Vucevic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens player production across the board.