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Nikola Vucevic

Nikola Vucevic Assists
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls

Nikola Vucevic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Vucevic has posted 3.4 assists per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.

Nikola Vucevic has played 32.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 89th percentile.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

When playing at home, the Raptors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Vucevic has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road.

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Bulls.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Vucevic will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases player production across the board.

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