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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2025

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has attempted 7.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Nikola Jovic has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 7.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.

As it relates to offense, the Heat's remarkable 117.5 points per game settles in as the 7th-strongest in the league over the last 15 games.

Nikola Jovic has converted an impressive 1.5 free throws per game this year, significantly more than his 0.7 rate last year.

Nikola Jovic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to boost stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Heat.

The Cavaliers have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Heat.

The Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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