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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has sunk 51.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 6.4% more than he's made over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Nikola Jovic has sunk 45.4% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 9.3% more than he's made from three over the course of the season while on the road.

Nikola Jovic has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 more than he's averaged overall this season.

In terms of 3-point shots, the Miami Heat's stellar 14.0 successful threes per game measures as the 9th-highest in the league this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should increase plays for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jovic has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this year on the road.

The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces player production for all stats.

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