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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 2/21/2025

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 5.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's made overall this season while playing on the road.

Nikola Jovic has made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season on the road.

Nikola Jovic has tallied 31.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The Heat check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of treys.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jovic has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season on the road.

The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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