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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has sunk 55.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 10.4% more than he's made over the course of the season away from his home court.

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 50.1% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 11.9% more than he's converted from three in all games this season while playing away from home.

Nikola Jovic has played 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's played in all games this season.

In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's outstanding 14.0 drained threes per game while on the road comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jovic has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 1.1 higher than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Mavericks have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player performance across the board.

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