Nikola Jovic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2025

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Feb 10, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has converted 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
Nikola Jovic has averaged 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat.
In contrast to last season's 0.7 clip, Nikola Jovic's free throws hit have risen this season to 1.7 per game.
Nikola Jovic ought to see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league when playing at home this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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