Nikola Jovic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2025

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Feb 5, 2025

Updated Feb 6, 2025 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 56.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 11.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while playing on the road.
Nikola Jovic has converted 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's made from three overall this year.
Nikola Jovic has averaged 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

Favors Under

Nikola Jovic has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.2 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.
The 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
The 76ers have played at the slowest pace in the NBA at home this year, which should decrease plays for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Nikola Jovic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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