Nikola Jovic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2025

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Feb 4, 2025

Updated Feb 5, 2025 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has attempted 10.8 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Nikola Jovic has successfully made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
With respect to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's exceptional 14.2 converted threes per game places 6th-highest in the league this year.
The Heat will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Chicago Bulls).

Favors Under

Nikola Jovic has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jovic will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this game.

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