Nikola Jovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 21, 2025 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has sunk 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from three overall this season.
Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
Nikola Jovic has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
As a team, the Miami Heat have been terrific at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 7th-best in the NBA this year, drawing 22.6 foul shots per game.
Nikola Jovic figures to see an increase in effectiveness for all stats considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The 4th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games on the road, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

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