Nikola Jovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2025

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat · Jan 11, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has attempted 5.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Nikola Jovic has played 27.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 more than he's played overall this season.
The Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
Nikola Jovic has converted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's made overall this season on the road.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat.
The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jovic figures to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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